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Cool Foggy Shore with Onshore Drift, Knee to Waist High Wind Wave…
Conditions are cool & damp across the forecast region with showers traversing the Downeast Maine coastline this morning. Winds are light E/SE north of the Cape, and light S/SW along the New England south coast, where thick fog is reducing visibility. Relative to surf, a 3 ft or so eight second wind wave is rolling in from the S/SE across much of the region. It is a short period wave with not a lot of punch. Look for knee to sometimes waist high waves with south facing shores receiving the most energy from this wave. The day’s weather will feature variably cloudy conditions with some periods of sun & a possible shower, especially from NH on north. Temps will mostly be in the 60′s, except where east winds relax & some sun pokes through the low clouds.
Maine… Out of the mist with a clean wind wave
New Hampshire… Easterly wind with the Sun trying to break through
Northern Massachusetts... Some sun, but facing east, away from the swell energy
Cape Cod & Rhode Island … Mired in fog
Long Island… Also foggy, with an occasional clear spot & swell poking through
Future Outlook… Significant south swell possible for the Weekend
It’s only Tuesday, but all eyes are on the weather & waves for the upcoming Holiday Weekend. Look for rather unsettled conditions from now through early Saturday morning. There will be variable cloudiness and the possibility for a shower each day, especially Thursday & Friday. When onshore winds are not present, temps will warm well into the 70′s. Relative to surf, look for thigh high & smaller conditions through late Wednesday. After that, the cold front that spawned Tornadoes in the midwest yesterday, will make a dash for the east coast during the period Thursday into Friday. Ahead of it, computer models anticipate a long southerly fetch, extending from South Carolina north to Downeast Maine. If this come to pass, look for an overhead swell from the south on Saturday with winds switching to the W/NW. Keep your fingers crossed!
Significant Wave Height Friday… A long southerly fetch ahead of a passing front stimulates a southerly wind swell for Saturday when conditions clean up.
Mike Morris, Surf Forecaster for Northern Surfer